Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 13.005819 15.145551 17.471991 20.182243 23.245475 26.592801 30.519590
2025-11-02 9.165736 12.034461 15.473460 19.864925 25.285115 31.715093 39.875162
2025-11-09 6.879397 9.961656 13.957815 19.439906 26.674653 35.796406 48.051785
2025-11-16 5.341523 8.426171 12.704866 18.940131 27.636248 39.154827 55.348857
2025-11-23 4.160648 7.108257 11.458751 18.153573 27.958603 41.515977 61.333725
2025-11-30 3.630251 6.634674 11.305059 18.820990 30.272609 46.658517 71.358062
2025-12-07 3.203477 6.235193 11.179317 19.466565 32.550083 51.849346 81.736977
2025-12-14 2.659622 5.532146 10.456847 19.064836 33.154126 54.582038 88.670775
2025-12-21 2.200185 4.888375 9.728897 18.539939 33.467582 56.836115 94.960898
2025-12-28 2.023420 4.742313 9.834693 19.406766 36.067776 62.741327 107.111034
2026-01-04 1.833539 4.534045 9.794000 19.998515 38.234078 68.068217 118.629181
2026-01-11 1.613753 4.221525 9.511847 20.114091 39.574867 72.118189 128.311850
2026-01-18 1.397888 3.895142 9.195459 20.203110 41.004639 76.620087 139.361856
2026-01-25 1.174259 3.506467 8.704896 19.920409 41.777414 80.136988 149.136243
2026-02-01 0.976720 3.132039 8.181501 19.500406 42.243217 83.140041 158.215806
2026-02-08 0.807460 2.784922 7.656443 19.000334 42.489339 85.742467 166.725600
2026-02-15 0.650559 2.425833 7.037723 18.211801 42.077588 87.102969 173.108281
2026-02-22 0.595509 2.349828 7.083972 18.881082 44.631078 94.037633 189.727085
2026-03-01 0.545129 2.274978 7.120374 19.528426 47.184557 101.111905 206.943262
2026-03-08 0.456538 2.048683 6.726339 19.125602 47.497573 103.945523 216.550203
2026-03-15 0.377572 1.828188 6.305472 18.599267 47.486636 106.132301 225.045399
2026-03-22 0.355409 1.809711 6.445546 19.468465 50.595288 114.607169 245.753594
2026-03-29 0.326468 1.756259 6.475714 20.061825 53.129784 122.068899 264.864587